Keystone Polling

Public Policy Polling has given us some Pennsylvania numbers.  Here is how the Republican race shapes up right now:

  • Christie at 26%
  • Ted Cruz on 16%
  • Rand Paul at 14%
  • Jeb Bush on 10%
  • Rick Santorum at 8%
  • Marco Rubio with 6%
  • Paul Ryan on 5%
  • Bobby Jindal and Scott Walker at 3%

It is no surprise that Christie is in the lead.  He’s from a neighboring state and is just coming off some great coverage for a big reelection win.  However he is losing self-identified ‘very conservative’ voters, pulling in 11% compared to 23% for Cruz and Paul’s 19%.  Where Christie gets his lead, according to the poll, is from moderates where he swamps Paul and Cruz 45 to 10 and 5 respectively.

This also shows that Cruz can have pull with Republicans across the country.  Given that Cruz has been in the Senate for about 15 minutes the fact that he is out polling much more established figures like Jeb Bush and Paul Ryan shows that his message, and how he delivers it, has some real resonance with Republican voters.

For Rick Santorum these numbers are a reminder of how far he has fallen.  Remember Santorum represented the state in the U.S. Senate for 12 years and can only pull in 8% among Pennsylvania Republicans.

It will be interesting to see where Pennsylvania goes in the process.  If it is an early state that would certainly help Christie and give him a chance to bounce back if he hits any bumps in the road in say South Carolina.

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