Christie Country? Maybe Not

A new poll out of Public Policy Polling shows the following results in Maine:

  • Chris Christie at 27%
  • Ted Cruz at 14%
  • Jeb Bush on 12%
  • Rand Paul at 10%
  • Paul Ryan on 9%
  • Marco Rubio at 4%
  • Bobby Jindal on 2%
  • Rick Santorum and Scott Walker each at 1%

This shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone.  Being the governor of New Jersey Chris Christie should do very well in Northeastern states like Maine.  If it’s a primary Christie can count on a pretty easy time getting the delegates. Remember Maine is a state that elects Republicans like Susan Collins.

However, Maine’s status as a primary state is not guaranteed. If Maine is a caucus things could get interesting.  In 2012 Maine was a caucus and supporters of RonPaul did very well there against Mitt Romney.  It stands to reason his son Rand will pick up most of the Paul political operation, so if the state is a caucus again it could turn from being a slam dunk for Christie to a real opportunity for Rand Paul.

This is a prime example of how important the fight over rules are going to be in the 2016 primary. They may be boring but the writing of rules may tell us the nominee long before the first votes are cast.

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