Look Out Iowa – Here Comes the Pence Express

Wake the kids and phone the neighbors, Mike Pence (yes, that Mike Pence) is going to visit Iowa in September.  I wonder why? Could it be to promote the GOP and support its great candidates on the ballot in November?  Could it be to see the Hawkeyes pay?  Maybe to both.  Or it could be that the Indiana Governor is testing the waters for 2016. 

My money is on the last one.

Pence has a solid conservative voting record, mid-western roots which will play well in Iowa, and as a governor does have executive experience. However, he also has a stern, humorless personality, similar to Mr. Fitts in American Beauty.  Is that really the guy to get the GOP back into the White House?  Many in the party base may think so.  

He is in the second tier of candidates but don’t be surprised if he moves up as 2015 moves along. 

Obama Is the Worst President Ever* Part 3 – Iraq/Syria

* – When it comes to communicaions

Today, President Obama said that when it comes to dealing with ISIS the U.S doesn’t have a strategy yet. Ouch.

You can just see that being used to attack Obama and Democratic candidates in the fall.  Why?  It doesn’t exactly inspire much confidence when it comes to dealing with a group that cuts people’s heads off.  If Obama wanted to give the GOP a way to hit him hard he just did. 

Now it’s certainly a very smart thing not to rush into a military conflict in the Middle East without a plan. We kind of did that once over there and it didn’t turnout to great.  But to say OUT LOUD that you don’t have a strategy is probably the worst thing you could say as people ISIS kill people on tv. Seriously, what was he thinking?

More Signs of Libertarians Being Overrated

Apparently, not everyone has joined the rush of media hailing the upcoming Libertarian golden age. Of course it is hard to believe considering how much press Libertarians get for doing so little.

It turns out that the young folks may actually be not just socially liberal but also supportive of government programs to help the poor.  

Research from Emory University finds voters under 30 identify as liberal and not libertarian but a margin of 35-16.  Their attitude towards social welfare spending is more favorable than those over 30 by a 10 point margin.  Numbers like this show that the GOP might be fooling itself if they think younger votes will automatically flock to them if they nominate someone like Rand Paul.    

After coming of age during the Great Recession some people don’t automatically embrace the market as the solver of all life’s problems.  Go figure. 

Studies like this should give the GOP pause to think that simply changing their position on gay marriage or pot (neither of which will be easy) and leaving everything else in place is suddenly going to bring in a whole new flock of voters.  In some places it may turn off many of their socially conservative supporters but that is a story for another post. 

Happy Anniversary and Good Riddance

25 years ago Pete Rose received a lifetime ban from Major League Baseball. The ban also includes a ban from the Hall of Fame (which Rose was assured of getting into had this not happened). The Cincinnati Reds star was found to have bet on baseball.  The rules are very clear on this and Rose clearly broke them.  Although he denied it for years Rose later admitted he did it.  

I understand that Rose was a great player.  Unfortunately, he broke a rule that was pretty explicit and was defiant about it for years.  I hope he never gets in the Hall of Fame.  

By the way, I also hope none of the steroid guys ever get in either. 

Guess They Don’t Stand with Rand on this One

A poll from the Washington Post-ABC News shows 63% of conservative Republicans and 61% of all Republicans back Obama’s airstrikes in Iraq.

First, Obama has actually done something conservatives support.  That don’t happen every day.  Second, this is a sign that reports of the death of the neocons are greatly exaggerated.  Now, they will not call themselves neocons or Bush Republicans but those are exactly the kind of policies Republicans are supporting when they are willing to back even Obama on Iraq.  Imagine if it was President Walker or Christie who ordered the strikes, support would be in the 80’s.

Third, this is a big problem from Rand Paul.  It is impossible for Paul to escape this non-interventionist foreign policy roots.  Hell, it’s probably what drives half of his support in the GOP.  The thing is that going into a primary where your first goal is to build support among the GOP base it’s a little harder when you and them have a big disagreement on a big issue.  Also, it probably won’t help that your opponents will be CONSTANTLY reminding the voters of that difference.  

It’s not all bad Rand.  The staff of Reason Magazine loves you more than ever.  That’s good for 20-25 votes.