Everyone is Going to Freak Out

Every prominent Republican thinking about running for President is going to collectively freak out tonight the moment after President Obama finishes speaking tonight.  Granted many of them, Ted Cruz, have already started stoking the fires so after it’s announced this will only get worse.

Look for what Steve King and Joni Ernst of Iowa says about the President’s actions. Given their position in the big caucus state every Republican will try to cozy up to them.

The Ghost of Eric Cantor

Many in the GOP are complaining about President Obama’s upcoming executive order on immigration.  Some in the party are saying the President should give them a chance to pass their own version of immigration.  If you believe that I have a bridge to sell you.

The GOP Congress will not pass immigration reform now, in 6 weeks, in 6 months, or in 6 years.  Why?  Two words for you.  Eric Cantor.

If the House Majority Leader can lose a primary to an unknown over this issue, you can bet your house and ass that no one in the party wants to take this issue up for fear of losing in a primary 18 months from now.   If it can happen to Cantor they all fear it will happen to them.

The GOP leadership is going to complain about Obama acting unilaterally.  Maybe the should direct their complaints at their base who remain the biggest obstacle to this needed reform.

Rand’s Running, Well Duh!

As part of their commitment to being on the cutting edge of journalism Politico write that it’s 95% certain Rand Paul will run for President in 2016.  Next they’ll be writing and in-depth series on how the Pope is a Catholic and ice is cold.

This has been a certainty since Paul won his Senate seat in 2010.  The real question is whether he can win anything.  I have my doubts.  Don’t be surprised if he keeps alive the family streak of not winning any states in a GOP primary.

Everyone is Staffing Up

Over the next few weeks you’ll hear that this candidate or that candidate is staffing up.  Their firing of staff for a run at the White House is a sign that they are going to do it.  In the long run this means very little.  Consultants can do good things but they aren’t miracle workers.  In the end it all comes down to the candidate.  Their style and ability permeates the entire campaign and ultimately propels them to victory or defeat.